Commodities

Is Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co., Ltd.’s (SHSE:600415) Stock’s Recent Performance Being Led By Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

Zhejiang China Commodities City Group (SHSE:600415) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 14% over the last three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Specifically, we decided to study Zhejiang China Commodities City Group’s ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company’s management is utilizing the company’s capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder’s equity.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang China Commodities City Group

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang China Commodities City Group is:

10% = CN¥1.8b ÷ CN¥17b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The ‘return’ is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.10 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company’s future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don’t necessarily bear these characteristics.

Zhejiang China Commodities City Group’s Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

When you first look at it, Zhejiang China Commodities City Group’s ROE doesn’t look that attractive. However, the fact that the company’s ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 5.3%, is definitely interesting. Consequently, this likely laid the ground for the decent growth of 13% seen over the past five years by Zhejiang China Commodities City Group. That being said, the company does have a slightly low ROE to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. Such as- high earnings retention or the company belonging to a high growth industry.

Given that the industry shrunk its earnings at a rate of 6.7% over the last few years, the net income growth of the company is quite impressive.

SHSE:600415 Past Earnings Growth March 17th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Zhejiang China Commodities City Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 28% (implying that the company retains 72% of its profits), it seems that Zhejiang China Commodities City Group is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that’s well covered.

Moreover, Zhejiang China Commodities City Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts’ consensus data, we found that the company’s future payout ratio is expected to rise to 34% over the next three years. However, Zhejiang China Commodities City Group’s future ROE is expected to rise to 15% despite the expected increase in the company’s payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company’s ROE.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that Zhejiang China Commodities City Group’s performance has been quite good. Specifically, we like that it has been reinvesting a high portion of its profits at a moderate rate of return, resulting in earnings expansion. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company’s earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company’s fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst’s forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.

Find out whether Zhejiang China Commodities City Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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